Russian offensive
Expert on Putin: “He lacks 300,000 soldiers”
Two years since the start of the war in Ukraine: the Russian army lacks more soldiers for a major offensive. Is the next mobilization imminent? Eastern Europe expert Alexander Dubowy is an experienced consultant in international politics, worked in Moscow for a long time and explains in the krone.tv talk what consequences further mobilizations would have for Russia.
According to the expert, the re-elected Kremlin leader Vladimir Putin needs "at least 300,000 additional troops" for a new major offensive by Russia in Ukraine. In other words, a further mobilization is imminent.
Mobilization means Russian refugees and problems on the labour market
According to Dubowy, this would have serious consequences for Russia. It can be assumed that "even more people will leave Russia. This will affect social cohesion as well as the labor market." This is because Russia is already experiencing "a massive shortage of cadres and massive problems on the labor market." But Ukraine is also "short of soldiers and they also need to be recruited." And: without further supplies of ammunition and weapons, Ukraine "will not be able to hold out against the Russian attacks for long".
Why Russia is now being targeted by Islamic terrorism
But it is not only the war that concerns Russia. The shock after the IS terror attack continues to run deep. The country has not recovered from the Islamic State attack in the Moscow concert hall. And there is already the next terrorist threat. Dubowy comments: "The reason why Russia has now become the focus of terrorism is, on the one hand, Russia's strong involvement in the Syrian war on the side of dictator Bashar al-Assad, but also Russia's very friendly relationship with the Taliban, who are considered to be declared enemies of IS. This means that there will be no change in Vladimir Putin's policy in this respect. And in this respect, the Russian population is of course in the greatest danger."
"Protector" Putin: a danger to his population
Putin's propaganda as the "protector of Russia" is also crumbling more and more. "He came as the strong man who promised security. The Russian people traded their freedom for this. And now? Vladimir Putin can no longer guarantee anything," says Eastern Europe expert Alexander Dubowy.
Watch the full interview in the video above.
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